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What Size Heating and Cooling System Do I Need?

Why a load calculation beats matching the old unit, and what goes wrong when a system is the wrong size.

November 8, 2026

"The old one was 3 tons, so put in a 3-ton" is how a lot of systems get sized. It's often wrong. The old one may have been the wrong size from the start, and homes change: new windows, insulation, an addition.

How it should be sized

A proper sizing uses a load calculation (the industry's method is called Manual J). It looks at the home itself: square footage, insulation, windows and which way they face, air leaks, ductwork and the local climate. From that comes how much heating and cooling the house actually needs.

Too big

  • Short cycles: it reaches temperature fast, shuts off, and starts again
  • Uneven temperatures and a clammy feel, because it doesn't run long enough to remove humidity
  • More wear on parts, and a higher price for equipment you didn't need

Too small

  • Runs constantly on the hottest and coldest days and still can't keep up
  • Higher bills and more wear from never resting

The ducts matter too

The right-size equipment on ducts that are too small, leaky or poorly laid out still won't perform. A good quote looks at both.

Quotes on new and replacement equipment are free. Send us a message or call 805-965-6326.

Related

More tips on costs & permits.

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